Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 6.154200 7.183558 8.297770 9.589257 11.040641 12.616934 14.453844
2026-01-11 4.715373 6.070900 7.653299 9.620615 11.983362 14.711678 18.081055
2026-01-18 3.705989 5.163230 6.969212 9.338935 12.330217 15.942573 20.592617
2026-01-25 3.017532 4.506888 6.451080 9.121680 12.635093 17.035765 22.891998
2026-02-01 2.484815 3.960304 5.980835 8.873472 12.821115 17.925673 24.915546
2026-02-08 2.071992 3.512921 5.576915 8.646659 12.977689 18.739739 26.831610
2026-02-15 1.722748 3.104429 5.172217 8.361970 13.005635 19.349410 28.467429
2026-02-22 1.521942 2.894309 5.028260 8.424966 13.502996 20.595679 30.988175
2026-03-01 1.345069 2.696610 4.877607 8.454837 13.938470 21.757905 33.421216
2026-03-08 1.201694 2.534612 4.762820 8.521718 14.419295 22.990397 35.984036
2026-03-15 1.066645 2.367665 4.620339 8.526968 14.796271 24.075886 38.363451
2026-03-22 0.988579 2.294611 4.625817 8.765284 15.536386 25.713882 41.587791
2026-03-29 0.904022 2.199474 4.586400 8.929386 16.173460 27.232809 44.708395
2026-04-05 0.810038 2.071936 4.476041 8.962542 16.597933 28.441649 47.405864
2026-04-12 0.689556 1.869944 4.207240 8.696867 16.512739 28.854047 48.907530
2026-04-19 0.592698 1.702705 3.984859 8.491933 16.509037 29.382112 50.589334
2026-04-26 0.505825 1.542689 3.758141 8.257863 16.436037 29.787704 52.083186
2026-05-03 0.432561 1.401425 3.552628 8.044030 16.379916 30.209084 53.603834
2026-05-10 0.364608 1.259831 3.329411 7.775720 16.207165 30.424960 54.795084
2026-05-17 0.330360 1.200656 3.276550 7.835083 16.621302 31.620399 57.583657
2026-05-24 0.297501 1.139016 3.211261 7.863233 16.976710 32.725382 60.252321
2026-05-31 0.270308 1.088395 3.165348 7.926265 17.396903 33.950221 63.146117
2026-06-07 0.242446 1.029989 3.094602 7.931213 17.705571 34.990665 65.759999